Smoking less deadly: will the life expectancy penalty for smokers decrease by 2030?
One-OffSanté et médecineScience3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 72.4%
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Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète1 sept. 24, 05:33 UTC1 janv. 30, 22:59 UTC
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KalshiRègles
This 2004 study shows that the life expectancy gap between smokers and non-smokers has risen in recent decades:
- https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC437139/
- The health of the general population has increased faster than that of smokers.
- However this increase in health has slowed in recent years.
- At the same time there are advances in lung cancer treatment and other diseases related to smoking.
- This resolves YES if there is conclusive evidence that the gap in life expectancy is decreasing again.
