Will Ukraine militarily recapture Sumy Oblast by the end of the war?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffRussie / Ukraine1a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 55.3%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète4 juin 26, 23:45 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketWill Russia capture Sumy by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if, at any time before the formal conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Ukraine militarily recaptures Sumy Oblast.
- For the purpose of this market, Ukraine has recaptured Sumy Oblast once Russia controls no more than 100 square kilometres of the region.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO.
- Clarifications
- The close date may be extended as necessary.