Will another country support Venezuela militarily?
PolitiqueOne-OffRussia / UkraineChinaLatin AmericaMiddle EastGéopolitique1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 93.6%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 57 minutes
En retard5 janv. 26, 16:33 UTC31 déc. 27, 16:30 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Australia deploy troops to Venezuela in support of US forces before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsVenezuela leader end of 2026?
PolymarketMaría Corina Machado enters Venezuela by which date?
PolymarketWho will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if any country provides direct military support to Venezuela after January 5, 2026.
- Military support includes: combat troops, weapons systems, ammunition, military aircraft, naval vessels, or active military personnel engaged in combat operations or direct defense of Venezuelan territory/goverment.
- The market resolves NO if no country provides such support tis year (2026).
- Diplomatic statements, humanitarian aid, or technical maintenance/training by foreign military personnel do not count as military support for this market.
- On January 3, 2026, President Nicolás Maduro was deposed and captured in a U.S. military operation.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will another country support Venezuela militarily? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 94% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will another country support Venezuela militarily? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will another country support Venezuela militarily? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will another country support Venezuela militarily? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria