Will Venezuela continue submissive to american demands in 2026?
One-OffAmérique latinePolitique américaineGéopolitiqueMoyen-OrientRussie / UkraineChinePolitique2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 92.7%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 49 minutes
En retard14 janv. 26, 23:47 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if either:
- The Bolivarian regime is replaced, democratically or by force, and a friendlier government is put in place.
- The Bolivarian regime continues "ruling" the country, but under american leash: depending on the US to finance itself, to import goods, and export oil.
- Major american demands are obeyed, such as changing economic, social and foreign policy, giving up demand to the US, letting american companies operate and extract oil.
- This market resolves NO if Venezuela:
