Will the "bald-hairy" pattern of Russian rulers continue after Putin?
One-OffGéopolitiqueRussie / Ukraine13a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 20:50 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
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Oui 60%
Oui 60%Prévisionnistes
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binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 26 minutes
12 déc. 22, 12:45 UTC31 déc. 39, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
"Bald-hairy" is a common joke in Russian political discourse, referring to the empirical rule of the state leaders' succession defined as a change of a bald or balding leader to a hairy one and vice versa.
- This consistent pattern can be traced back to as early as 1825 (Wikipedia).
- The question refers to any de facto ruler of Russia.
- If after Putin Russia no longer exists as one country but at least one of states on its today's internationally recognized territory has the word "Russia" in its name and has a hairy leader, I will resolve YES.
- Close date updated to 2040-01-01 3:59 am