Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 06:50 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 90.1%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète24 févr. 26, 14:19 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Venezuela continue submissive to american demands in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
PolymarketMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran nuclear deal?
KalshiIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
PolymarketWhat will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves YES if Iran accepts and complies with the primary U.S. demands in the on going negotiations.
- Specifically, Iran must:
- Transfer its (allegedly) remaining 400 kg of enriched uranium or be found to not have any.
- Halt its nuclear weapons development.
- Restrict its ballistic missile program.
- End its financial, political and military support for groups such as Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis.