Will Turkey become more authoritarian in 2026?
Moyen-OrientOne-OffRussie / UkraineChineAmérique latine6moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 68.2%
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9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète11 avr. 26, 16:50 UTC31 mars 27, 22:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if Turkey's democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2027) compared to the last report.
- If the report is paywalled, I may resolve to a secondary source such as Wikipedia.
- If Turkey's democracy score for 2026 is the same or higher, this question resolves NO.
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