PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
September 23 98%-0.3ptEn tête parmi 13 options
Qualité du marché
47 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
15,4 k €
Liquidité
11,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
22.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
3
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
17 sept. 26, 17:58 UTC30 sept. 26, 19:59 UTC
Tendances
Gagné
Avant la clôture: 100% ·
Perdu
Avant la clôture: 0% ·
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 0,1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Non
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31?
Manifold MarketsFree flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a kinetic strike is conducted on, or forceful seizure of control is taken of, a commercial ship within the defined area on the specified date, between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM GST (UTC+04:00).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The defined area consists of the Persian Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz, and the Gulf of Oman.
- An incident occurring outside these three bodies of water will not qualify, including in the Arabian Sea, the Gulf of Aden, or the Red Sea.
- No attribution is required.
- A qualifying incident will count regardless of the identity of the party responsible, regardless of whether any state or group claims responsibility, and regardless of whether responsibility is denied, disputed, or never established.