Will Russia become more authoritarian in 2026?
One-OffMoyen-OrientChineAmérique latineGéopolitiqueRussie / Ukraine5mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 51.8%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète11 avr. 26, 16:54 UTC31 mars 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the United States become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill India become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US become more authoritarian or more democratic in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the world become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if Russia's democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2027) compared to the last report.
- If the report is paywalled, I may resolve to a secondary source such as Wikipedia.
- If Russia's democracy score for 2026 is the same or higher, this question resolves NO.
- @/cash/will-the-world-become-more-authorit-2R20yhg9dh
- 🇺🇸 @/cash/will-the-us-become-more-authoritari
- 🇺🇸 @/cash/will-the-united-states-become-more-QNC56OL95y
