Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?
One-OffGéopolitiqueMoyen-OrientPolitique américaine2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 84%
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Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
1 janv. 26, 05:39 UTC1 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
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PolymarketRègles
"invade" means US military attempts to seize territory in Iran.
- By themselves, airstrikes, a no-fly zone, and naval engagements do not count.
- An operation in which US military personnel are physically in Iran, but whose aim is not to seize territory (e.g. covert/clandestine operation), would also not count.