Will the US conduct ground operations in mainland Iran before Jan 1, 2027?
One-OffGéopolitiqueMiddle East3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 62.1%
Prévisionnistes
27
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète5 mars 26, 16:13 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
This market resolves YES if, before Jan 1, 2027, the United States conducts ground military operations inside mainland Iran.
- “Mainland Iran” excludes offshore islands such as Kharg Island.
- For this market to resolve YES, all of the following must occur:
- At least 100 uniformed members of the United States Armed Forces are physically present on land inside Iranian sovereign territory.
- These personnel are participating in military ground operations (e.g., raids, combat operations, seizures of facilities, or other military activity conducted on the ground).
- The following do not qualify:
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the US conduct ground operations in mainland Iran before Jan 1, 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 62% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the US conduct ground operations in mainland Iran before Jan 1, 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the US conduct ground operations in mainland Iran before Jan 1, 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will the US conduct ground operations in mainland Iran before Jan 1, 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES if, before Jan 1, 2027, the United States conducts ground military operations inside mainland Iran.