Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95%
Prévisionnistes
45
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète17 juin 26, 21:25 UTC2 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the US attack Cuba before China attacks Taiwan?
Manifold MarketsWhere will the US attack in 2026? [add your answer]
Manifold MarketsWhich of the following things will happen in 2026 as a result of the US Attack on Venezuela?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump attack Cuba by the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsRepublican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
PolymarketWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if the U.S. military attacks Cuba before the 2026 midterm elections on Nov 3, 2026.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Update 2026-06-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified what counts as a military attack for resolution purposes:
- Counts (YES): Limited drone or missile strike, sustained bombing, full invasion
- Does NOT count (NO): Covert operatives conducting sabotage/assassination/kidnapping, or arming/directing a proxy group — unless done overtly under the US banner, or they lead to open war