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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Where will the US attack in 2026? [add your answer]
Manifold Markets

Where will the US attack in 2026? [add your answer]

PolitiqueIAGéopolitique6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSans KYC
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Manifold Markets
Iran 100%
En tête parmi 43 options
Prévisionnistes

262

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 jours

Obsolète
6 janv. 26, 11:1431 déc. 26, 23:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Greenland7%

Règles

###Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market resolves YES for any place where the US conducts military strikes, airstrikes, drone strikes, or armed military operations during 2026.
  • Resolution is based on official US government statements, credible news reporting from major outlets, or documented military action.
  • The US has already conducted a large-scale strike on Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro, so Venezuela would resolve YES if it is attacked again.
  • For an answer to resolve YES, there must be documented evidence of kinetic military action (strikes, raids, or armed operations) rather than non-military interventions, sanctions, or covert operations alone.
  • Multiple countries can resolve YES simultaneously.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

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Actualités Associées

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Règles

###Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market resolves YES for any place where the US conducts military strikes, airstrikes, drone strikes, or armed military operations during 2026.
  • Resolution is based on official US government statements, credible news reporting from major outlets, or documented military action.
  • The US has already conducted a large-scale strike on Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro, so Venezuela would resolve YES if it is attacked again.
  • For an answer to resolve YES, there must be documented evidence of kinetic military action (strikes, raids, or armed operations) rather than non-military interventions, sanctions, or covert operations alone.
  • Multiple countries can resolve YES simultaneously.