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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Régulation
  3. Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?
Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?

Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?

RégulationIATechPolitiqueGéopolitique3a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSans KYC
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization"
Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization" 78.6%
En tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes

12

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 6 heures

Obsolète
9 déc. 24, 19:391 janv. 30, 23:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization"79%

Règles

Any specific market resolves to "Yes" if by January 1, 2030, for the relevant entity, the criteria for "soft nationalization" or "hard nationalization" occur.

Manifold Markets
  • That market resolves to "No" otherwise.
  • If it is unclear on 1st January 2030 whether the criteria above are met, resolution will be delayed by up to 30 days.
  • If it is still unclear, the market will resolve NO.
  • The criteria for "soft" and "hard" nationalization are below.
  • Below that are clarifications on the relevant entities.

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Règles

Any specific market resolves to "Yes" if by January 1, 2030, for the relevant entity, the criteria for "soft nationalization" or "hard nationalization" occur.

Manifold Markets
  • That market resolves to "No" otherwise.
  • If it is unclear on 1st January 2030 whether the criteria above are met, resolution will be delayed by up to 30 days.
  • If it is still unclear, the market will resolve NO.
  • The criteria for "soft" and "hard" nationalization are below.
  • Below that are clarifications on the relevant entities.