Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?
One-OffRégulationTechPolitiqueGéopolitique4aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87%
Prévisionnistes
55
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète23 juin 24, 19:05 UTC1 janv. 31, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will The Signal Foundation provide the content of a Signal message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the TikTok Bill be used against other apps/websites before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple VP of Finance Alex Roman receive any legal penalty for “lying under oath"?
Manifold MarketsNew cars must have digital license plates in CA before EOY 2027
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in the world throughout the 2020s
Manifold MarketsRègles
Will resolve YES if four of the seven nations in G7 (France, United States, United Kingdom, Germany, Japan, Italy and Canada) have banned messaging apps that use end-to-end encryption, or have otherwise made these apps non-functional or non-private when used in those nations.
- Will resolve NO if these apps are still legal and functional in at least four of the seven nations that comprise G7.
