Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89.8%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
18 nov. 25, 16:43 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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KalshiRègles
The authors of If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies: Why Superhuman AI Would Kill Us All are calling for a march in Washington DC (the "Don't Build It march") to call for an international treaty to ban the development of Artificial Superintelligence.
- The organizers are collecting pledges with the wording "If 100,000 other people also pledged to march in DC, I will attend that march", with the stated intention of only scheduling the march if they receive 100,000 such pledges.
- Will the march happen before the end of 2026?
- I will not bet on this market.
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- Volume total
- 22,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 581,3 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Don't Build It March happen by EOY 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 90% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Don't Build It March happen by EOY 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Don't Build It March happen by EOY 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will the Don't Build It March happen by EOY 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The authors of If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies: Why Superhuman AI Would Kill Us All are calling for a march in Washington DC (the "Don't Build It march") to call for an international treaty to ban the development of Artificial Superintelligence.