Will SpaceX be nationalized during Trump's second term?
Politique commercialeOne-OffTechEspacePolitiquePolitique américaine2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 20 oct. 2026, 23:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 93.6%
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 heures
Obsolète5 juin 25, 21:53 UTC19 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, during Donald Trump's second term as President of the United States (January 20, 2025, to January 20, 2029), SpaceX is nationalized by the U.S. federal government.
- Nationalization is defined as the transfer of SpaceX's ownership or control from private to government hands, resulting in the U.S. government holding a majority stake or full control over the company.
- The resolution will be based on official government announcements or credible reporting from reputable news organizations.
- If Trump leaves office early for any reason, SpaceX getting nationalized before Jan 20, 2029 still counts.
- As of June 2025, there have been no public indications or official statements suggesting that the U.S. government intends to nationalize SpaceX.
