Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.2%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète28 avr. 24, 07:34 UTC30 juin 30, 20:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will even 500m of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project be built until 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran target Saudi Arabia by which date?
PolymarketSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
PolymarketHouthi military action against Saudi Arabia on?
PolymarketWill Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?
Kalshi[ACX 2026] Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Poll end when the project date postponeds or is completed
- In 2018 Saudi crown prince announced a new half a trillion dollars project called NEOM, one of it's biggest project is linear city The Line.
- A linear smart city construction in Saudi Arabia in Neom, Tabuk Province, which is designed to have no cars, streets or carbon emissions.
- The Line is planned to be the first development of a $500 billion project in Neom.
- The city's plans anticipated a population of 9 million (25% of Saudi Arabia's then population of 35.5 million) and were later scaled down to 300,000 people.
- Originally intended to be 170km long by 2030, it now aims for to 2.4km to be completed by then.
Marchés ouverts
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIran leadership change by which date?
- June 30, 202726%
- December 3114%
- November 309%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 359,8 k €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+1.9pt97%
- September 25+9.0pt92%
- September 30+6.0pt81%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- 58,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 216,8 k €
POLYMARKETWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- No Meeting by September 30-4.2pt85%
- USA+7.9pt14%
- Switzerland-0.4pt1%
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt19%
- October 3110%
- September 302%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt58.8%
- October 3132.4%
- September 30-2.0pt7.8%
+17 résultats de plus
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Israel closes its airspace by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Saudi Arabia truly complete the line city project by 2030 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 92% au 19 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Saudi Arabia truly complete the line city project by 2030 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Saudi Arabia truly complete the line city project by 2030 doit être résolu le 30 juin 2030.
- Comment Will Saudi Arabia truly complete the line city project by 2030 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Poll end when the project date postponeds or is completed