Will Russia occupy Dnipro ( Dnepropetrovs'k ) at the end of 2026?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffRussie / Ukraine2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95.7%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète5 mars 26, 22:01 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Russian forces establish full military control over the city of Dnipro by December 31, 2026.
- Full control means Russian forces occupy the city proper and maintain administrative authority over it.
- The resolution will be determined by official statements from the Ukrainian government, Russian government, or verified reports from established military monitoring organizations such as the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) or DeepState.
- If the city remains under Ukrainian control or is only partially occupied, the market resolves NO.
- Dnipro was not successfully captured by Russian forces during the initial 2022 offensive, but did suffer heavy shelling by Russian artillery.