Will Russia launch a full scale military attack against Poland by the end of 2029?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 87.9%
Prévisionnistes
33
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète14 janv. 24, 15:13 UTC31 déc. 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
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If Russia exerts kinetic military action in the territory of Poland by December 31st, 2029, then the resolution of this market will be “Yes”.
- Kinetic military action excludes electronic and cybernetic war resources and includes the shooting of projectiles, troops, and military vehicles deployment inside a territory.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Russia launch a full scale military attack against Poland by the end of 2029? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 88% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Russia launch a full scale military attack against Poland by the end of 2029? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Russia launch a full scale military attack against Poland by the end of 2029? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will Russia launch a full scale military attack against Poland by the end of 2029? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : If Russia exerts kinetic military action in the territory of Poland by December 31st, 2029, then the resolution of this market will be “Yes”.