Will Russia launch a military attack against Poland by the end of 2039?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffRussie / Ukraine13a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 61.7%
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46
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète13 févr. 24, 03:28 UTC1 janv. 40, 04:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Russia launch a full scale military attack against Poland by the end of 2029?
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PolymarketRègles
Inspired by @XYZ_RGB's question, thank you making the example.
- Resolves YES if Russia exerts kinetic military action in the territory of Poland by December 31st, 2029. "Kinetic military action" excludes electronic and cybernetic war resources.
- It includes shooting projectiles, and deploying troops or military vehicles inside Poland.
- We will ignore accidents with stray missiles such as this one.
- Resolves NO in 2040-Jan if no kinetic military attack happens.