Will Nicolás Maduro be convicted in a U.S. federal court before January 1, 2027?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffAmérique latineCriminalité et justice2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard15 janv. 26, 00:08 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump pardon Nicolás Maduro or commute his sentence in 2026?
PredictItWill Nicolás Maduro return to Venezuela in his life?
Manifold MarketsWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to capital punishment by US courts
Manifold MarketsWhat US charges will Nicolás Maduro be found guilty of?
Manifold MarketsWill Nicolás Maduro be found guilty of a felony in a US court
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- Maduro was arraigned in U.S. federal court on January 5, 2026, with the next court date set for March 17, 2026.
- This market resolves YES if Maduro is convicted on any of the charges in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York before January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be determined by official court records and public announcements from the U.S. Department of Justice or the court.
- The market resolves NO if Maduro is acquitted, the charges are dismissed, or the trial does not conclude by the deadline.
- Maduro faces charges of narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, possession of machine guns and destructive devices, and conspiracy to possess machine guns and destructive devices.