Will Nicolás Maduro be convicted in a U.S. federal court before January 1, 2027?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffLatin AmericaCrime & Justice3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.8%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète15 janv. 26, 00:08 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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Resolution criteria
- Maduro was arraigned in U.S. federal court on January 5, 2026, with the next court date set for March 17, 2026.
- This market resolves YES if Maduro is convicted on any of the charges in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York before January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be determined by official court records and public announcements from the U.S. Department of Justice or the court.
- The market resolves NO if Maduro is acquitted, the charges are dismissed, or the trial does not conclude by the deadline.
- Maduro faces charges of narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, possession of machine guns and destructive devices, and conspiracy to possess machine guns and destructive devices.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Nicolás Maduro be convicted in a U.S. federal court before January 1, 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 88% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Nicolás Maduro be convicted in a U.S. federal court before January 1, 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Nicolás Maduro be convicted in a U.S. federal court before January 1, 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Nicolás Maduro be convicted in a U.S. federal court before January 1, 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria