Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to capital punishment by US courts
Amérique latineOne-OffPolitique américainePolitiqueCriminalité et justice3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 18:26 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 77.5%
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Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète3 janv. 26, 15:33 UTC1 janv. 30, 15:33 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves YES if Nicolás Maduro is sentenced to capital punishment by any US court before January 1, 2030.
- Clarifications:
- Courts included: Any US federal or state court with jurisdiction
- Sentence timing: Counts when the trial court issues the sentence, regardless of appeals status or subsequent overturn
- Multiple trials: If sentenced in ANY trial, resolves YES (prior acquittals don't matter)
- Does NOT count: International tribunals, foreign courts, or courts with US participation but not US courts proper
