Will an animal in the US be recognized as a person by US courts before 2030?
Politique américaineOne-OffAmérique latine3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 73.4%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète11 sept. 23, 21:45 UTC1 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market resolves YES if an animal within the United States is recognized as having personhood rights before 2030.
- The animal at the center of the case must reside in the United States, and the case must be decided in the US State or Federal courts.
- This market resolves NO if a district court rules that an animal is a person before 2030, but an appeals court rules that it is not a person after 2030, and the Supreme Court then agrees with the appeals court or declines to rule on its decision.
- However, this market resolves YES if a district court rules that an animal is a person before 2030, and an appeals court and the Supreme Court agree or decline to rule on the decision.
- As a result, this market may not close until well after 2030.
- However, if no court has recognized an animal as a person before 2030, then this will resolve no in 2030.
