Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 79.7%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
6 janv. 26, 21:19 UTC31 déc. 62, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump pardon Nicolás Maduro or commute his sentence in 2026?
PredictItWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to capital punishment by US courts
Manifold MarketsWill Nicolás Maduro be convicted in a U.S. federal court before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsEdmundo González Urrutia return to Venezuela in 2026?
FutuurMaduro Prison Time?
PolymarketMaduro guilty of all counts?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if Maduro returns to the country of Venezuela (in any state of capture or health) before he dies.
- Resolves NO if Maduro dies anywhere else in the world outside the boundary of Venezuela before he is seen/verified to be present in his home country again.
- Currently (Jan. 6, 2025) Maduro is held in US custody in Manhattan.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Nicolás Maduro return to Venezuela in his life? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 80% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Nicolás Maduro return to Venezuela in his life? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Nicolás Maduro return to Venezuela in his life? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2062.
- Comment Will Nicolás Maduro return to Venezuela in his life? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if Maduro returns to the country of Venezuela (in any state of capture or health) before he dies.