Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.4%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète7 août 25, 08:50 UTC31 déc. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Russia and China have an operational nuclear power plant on the moon by EOY 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill the reactor core of a nuclear power plant melt before EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Microsoft successfully build a nuclear power plant before OpenAI claims to have AGI?
Manifold MarketsWill any reactor of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant be operational in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion Energy have a power plant in operation by the end of 2028?
ForecastExWill any country become a new nuclear power in 2026?
FutuurRègles
Acting administrator for NASA has announced that the agency will be directed to put a nuclear reactor in the moon by 2030
- This is thought to be a part of a plan to have a permanent human presence in the moon
- https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/04/science/nasa-moon-nuclear-reactor.html
- Notes on resolution
- Will resolve YES if
- A nuclear reactor is built on the moon and generates power by the end of 31st December 2030
