Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 75.4%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète10 août 26, 23:11 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will win the civil war in Sudan?
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Manifold MarketsSudan civil war ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketWill there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?
FutuurWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, before December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM UTC, the civil war in Myanmar is officially declared or widely recognized as ended.
- The end of the conflict must satisfy at least one of the following conditions:
- Comprehensive Peace Agreement: A formal, nationwide peace agreement, political settlement, or permanent ceasefire is signed between the central ruling authority of Myanmar (the military-led State Administration Council (SAC) or its successor) and the primary armed opposition groups (including the National Unity Government (NUG) and key coalitions like the Three Brotherhood Alliance or its constituent Ethnic Armed Organizations (EAOs)).
- The agreement must be officially announced and remain actively in effect on December 31, 2027.
- Localized, temporary, or fragmented bilateral truces do not qualify.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Myanmar's civil war end before EOY 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 75% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Myanmar's civil war end before EOY 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Myanmar's civil war end before EOY 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will Myanmar's civil war end before EOY 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria