Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 73.4%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète1 août 26, 16:23 UTC1 janv. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by which date?
PolymarketMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by which date?
PolymarketCuba's Miguel Díaz-Canel captured or killed in 2026
Manifold MarketsDíaz-Canel still President of Cuba through the end of 2026?
FutuurWho will be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
The leader is whoever the de facto leader of Cuba is, regardless of their specific job title.
- Currently this is First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba Miguel Díaz-Canel.
- If there is a complicated messy civil war, this goes by who controls the capital and governing apparatus.
- I intend to go by a similar standard to the late CIA World Factbook (RIP) or the Wikipedia infobox, though I don't commit to matching them if they're outdated or inaccurate.
- (Identical market to: source market)
Marchés ouverts
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+5 résultats de plus
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+17 résultats de plus
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- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
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POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
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- Yes4%
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POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
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- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 73% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The leader is whoever the de facto leader of Cuba is, regardless of their specific job title.