Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 82%
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète12 sept. 22, 07:30 UTC2 janv. 50, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Israel withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel withdraw from Lebanon by ?
FutuurWill Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
PolymarketWhat sovereign state will the West Bank first be part of?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
PolymarketWill US withdraw from NATO by which date?
PolymarketRègles
This question resolves to YES if Israel (either civilian judicial systems or the military) has jurisdiction over less than 5% of the land area of the West Bank (as defined by the 1949 armistice) at any point before 2050.
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 581,3 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- 55,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 96,8 k €
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Israel withdraw from the West Bank by 2050? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 82% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Israel withdraw from the West Bank by 2050? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Israel withdraw from the West Bank by 2050? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2050.
- Comment Will Israel withdraw from the West Bank by 2050? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This question resolves to YES if Israel (either civilian judicial systems or the military) has jurisdiction over less than 5% of the land area of the West Bank (as defined by the 1949 armistice) at any point before 2050.