Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuellePalestine 39.4%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète20 oct. 23, 19:37 UTC1 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
New sovereign nuclear state by EOY2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketWill the Iranian Regime fall before October?
MyriadRègles
This can resolve to multiple partial answers if the territory of the West Bank as of 2023 is divided between multiple states.
- Excludes Jerusalem.
Marchés ouverts
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POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
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- No-0.2pt96%
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POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What sovereign state will the West Bank first be part of? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Palestine à 39% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand What sovereign state will the West Bank first be part of? sera-t-il résolu ?
- What sovereign state will the West Bank first be part of? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
- Comment What sovereign state will the West Bank first be part of? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This can resolve to multiple partial answers if the territory of the West Bank as of 2023 is divided between multiple states.