FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAlerte qualité des donnéesAucune cotation en direct
Données au 29 oct. 2026, 11:46 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Probabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 11%
December 31 11%Qualité du marché
28 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
2 k €
Faible liquiditéTraders
4
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Israel withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel withdraw from the West Bank by 2050?
Manifold MarketsNetanyahu out before the next Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting?
PolymarketIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by which date?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Lebanon on?
PolymarketIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
This set of markets predicts when Israel will announce that it has withdrawn all of its ground forces from Lebanese territory.
- Each of the markets below covers one possible deadline; any number of these markets may resolve to "Yes".
- A market resolves to "Yes" if Israel publicly announces, on or before the market's deadline, that its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory.
- The announcement must refer to a completed withdrawal; an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal does not qualify.
- A “Yes” resolution requires only the announcement of completed withdrawal, and it is not affected by whether some Lebanese territory remains under Israeli control or whether ground incursions by Israeli forces resume afterward.
- The Shebaa Farms area is treated as Israeli territory for the purposes of this event and is not considered toward resolution.
