Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 92.5%
Prévisionnistes
89
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète6 janv. 26, 07:00 UTC6 janv. 27, 21:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the solid-state (Donut) Verge motorcycle be delivered under a non-disclosure agreement?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple release an iPhone that uses a solid-state battery by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla release a car using solid-state battery technology by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of 2026, will it be possible to purchase a motorcycle with a solid state battery for <$50k
Manifold MarketsWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many critical severity cyber vulnerabilities will be found in December 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Donut Lab has posted this video: https://youtu.be/Y-aPS2AwMbc?si=Wgwx-LUcWMhp3L9k
- In it they make several claims about a new battery technology they've invented.
- One year from now, will I deem any of the claims made to have been false or disingenuous? I will resolve the market Yes if I do and no if I don't.
- I won't bet on this market.
- I will act in good faith.
- The resolution will be as accurate a reflection of my belief at the closing time as I can have it be.
