Probabilité implicite actuelle
At least 440 89%+1.0%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
28 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0,3 €
Liquidité
39,4 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
80.0% / 89.0%
Spread
11.3%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
2 juil. 25, 14:001 janv. 30, 4:59
Tendances
Résultat choisi
At least 44089%
Marchés Associés
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
3,7 k €2: 63%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest monthly CO2 level at Mauna Loa in first half of 2026
848,9 €432 or less: 0.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Natural Disaster in 2026?
37,4 €Oui: 25%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will El Niño conditions be declared present?
1,2 €Before Jul 1, 2026: 70%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
0,1 €Oui: 77%KALSHI
KALSHI
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
0 €Oui: 8%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Règles
If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least 440 before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least 445 before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least 450 before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least 455 before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least 460 before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.