Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 82.1%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète22 juin 24, 04:49 UTC1 janv. 31, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will China overtake the US in frontier AI by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?
Manifold MarketsElectricity generation per capita: Will China overtake the US by end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill India overtake South Africa in GDP per Capita by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsState of the economy at the end of 2026
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.2% in November 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExRègles
Resolves to the exact same as the Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/chinausgdp/china-overtakes-us-gdp
- If China has overtaken US GDP by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from IMF.
