Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffMétéoRussie / UkraineChine19a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 76.9%
Prévisionnistes
27
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète25 sept. 23, 14:21 UTC1 janv. 46, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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KalshiRègles
China has already depleted most of its natural resources, so is becoming increasingly less self-sufficient.
- The growing need for supplies of vital imports including fossil fuels, food, and freshwater will place increasing strain on the PRC.
- This challenge will focus on China’s growing shortage of freshwater, and the implication of a possible land grab in the southeast of Russia where Lake Baikal is located.
- The rationale for this potential outcome is that China is facing a growing water scarcity crisis that will have a significant impact on energy production, food availability, and access to domestic freshwater supplies.
- Factors leading to this impending catastrophe include water-intensive practices of multinational corporations operating in China, inefficient manufacturing, construction, and agriculture processes, and the impact of climate change.
- The Chinese government is making every effort to mitigate the crisis through water imports and desalination.