Condition on DPP winning the 2024 election, Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionGéopolitiqueChine1a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 07:20 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 79.5%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète12 janv. 24, 13:48 UTC31 déc. 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Does DPP's non-corporation with China increase the chance of invasion?
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/AmmonLam/condition-on-dpp-winning-the-2024-e-5fa80f0dc747)
- Resolution follows the same criteria as https://manifold.markets/MarlonK/will-china-attempt-to-invade-taiwan
- This market will resolve "yes" if there is a Chinese military attack with the intention to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027.
- This question is answered "No" if there is:
- no military conflict between the two parties
