Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?
One-OffGéopolitiqueChina2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 68.3%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète10 déc. 23, 03:42 UTC1 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?
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PolymarketRègles
Taiwan possesses four island groups off the coast of mainland China: Kinmen, the Matsu Islands, Wuqiu, and Penghu.
- [image]China might opt to seize one or more of these islands in the coming years, either to test American and Taiwanese resolve, as a bargaining chip, as salami tactics, or as part of an invasion or naval blockade.
- Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands before the end of 2028?
- Same question except:
- before end of 2024
- before end of 2025
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 68% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Taiwan possesses four island groups off the coast of mainland China: Kinmen, the Matsu Islands, Wuqiu, and Penghu.