Probabilité implicite actuelle
Chen Yu-jen 92.1%-1.0ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
79 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
5,6 k €
Liquidité
50,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-0.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
14 août 26, 13:04 UTC28 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner
PolymarketChanghua County Magistrate Election Winner
PolymarketNantou County Magistrate Election Winner
PolymarketWill China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
