Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 96.1%
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4
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
8 sept. 26, 21:54 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many FrontierMath Open Problems solved by EOY2027?
Manifold MarketsWill at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill at least 2 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRègles
Recently, given that Navier–Stokes was potentially solved by AI, will all of the millennial problems be solved by end of year 2027?
- Will resolve YES if a solution comes out in December 2027 but isn't verified or accepted in until January 2028 or later.
Marchés ouverts
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+0.9pt86%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029-21.9pt48%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 230,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 77,1 k €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028-1.0pt12%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 28,6 M €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 314%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 109,5 k €
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt48%
- Above 1-2.0pt18%
- Above 2-6.0pt8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,9 k €
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
- Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will *all* Millennium Problems be solved by EOY 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 96% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will *all* Millennium Problems be solved by EOY 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will *all* Millennium Problems be solved by EOY 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will *all* Millennium Problems be solved by EOY 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Recently, given that Navier–Stokes was potentially solved by AI, will all of the millennial problems be solved by end of year 2027?