Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 85.6%
Non 85.6%Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
2 nov. 23, 22:25 UTC15 janv. 31, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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FutuurUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves as YES if any nuclear weapon with a yield of at least 0.05 kilotons of TNT is detonated between January 1st 2030 and December 31st 2030.
- Includes offensive use, tests and accidental detonations.
- Image credits: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Plumbbob_Boltzmann_001.jpg