Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027?
GéopolitiqueOne-Off1a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89.1%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète4 avr. 26, 11:33 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027?
- The ship must not be decommissioned but must be actively in service.
- The perpetrator could be a state’s navy, a special operations unit, a terrorist organization, or a lone terrorist. “Sunk” means that the ship is rendered unseaworthy and at least 50% of its above-water superstructure is submerged.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if, before 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2027, a cruise ship is sunk by a state military force, a terrorist organization, or a lone actor.
- For the purpose of this market: