Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleWill Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections? 100%En tête parmi 18 options
Prévisionnistes
41
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-10.6 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète22 sept. 26, 22:13 UTC31 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be caught insider trading in prediction markets?
Manifold MarketsWill a law restricting sports trades on prediction markets be enacted in 2026?
PredictItLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
PolymarketWill Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?
Manifold MarketsPope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Matt Levine write about "a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund" before 2026-11-07?
Manifold MarketsRègles
MNX is planning to add a series of prediction markets, mostly but not exclusively touching on the AI economy.
- Help us decide which prediction markets to list! AI benchmarks, product releases, financials, even politics/geopolitics are fair game (sports is totally out though).
- We are looking for markets that are interesting, objective/unambiguous, helpful from a AI capabilities forecasting perspective, and likely to generate significant trading volume.
- Submit your market idea (it can be a link to another manifold market), and if we end up listing it on MNX before the end of October 2026, the answer resolves YES.
- If there's a duplicate or vague market, I will resolve it N/A.
