Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027?
Middle EastOne-OffReligionBusiness & CorporateSociety & Culture3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.9%
Prévisionnistes
48
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète16 oct. 25, 21:14 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiWill Trump meet with Pope Leo in 2026?
PredictItRègles
In May 2025, Pope Leo XIV succeeded Pope Francis, becoming the first American pope in history.
- He has since spoken frequently about global issues, from immigration to the Israel–Palestine conflict, emphasizing compassion, fraternity, and solidarity in his apostolic exhortation Dilexi Te (October 2025), a 20,000-word document reaffirming gospel teachings on human dignity and mercy.
- He's also made some pop culture headlines.
- In June, Pope Leo stepped out into St Peter's Square wearing a Chicago White Sox baseball cap.
- Yesterday, a visitor to the Vatican yelled "Go Cubs!" from the crowd as Pope Leo drove by, and he clapped back "They lost!"
- Prediction markets (particularly Polymarket) have been in a news a lot in recent weeks as the ICE invested $2bln on a $9bln valuation, and Polymarket moves to expand into the US market for the first time.
Marchés ouverts
Middle East
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+4.0pt77%
- September 18+4.0pt72%
- September 11+10.5pt66%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 500,6 k €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+5.0pt84.2%
- Yes-5.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- 9,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 266,3 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt50.4%
- October 31-3.0pt27.8%
- September 30+1.0pt12.2%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- 56,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 190,8 k €
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+5.5pt22%
- October 31+9.0pt18%
- September 30+3.9pt7%
+9 résultats de plus
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
- Israel closes its airspace by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 88% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : In May 2025, Pope Leo XIV succeeded Pope Francis, becoming the first American pope in history.