Pope Leo XIV issues a document addressing birth control teaching by December 31, 2026?
One-OffReligion3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 79.3%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète17 août 25, 13:08 UTC1 janv. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump be excommunicated by Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
KalshiPope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiWill Trump meet with Pope Leo in 2026?
PredictItWill Pope Leo XIV cease to be pope before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves to YES if Pope Leo XIV issues an official document (encyclical, apostolic exhortation, motu proprio, etc.) that specifically addresses the Catholic Church's teaching on artificial contraception on or before December 31, 2026.
- The document must substantially address birth control teaching, not merely mention it in passing.
- It could reaffirm, clarify, develop, or modify the teaching found in Humanae Vitae.
- Mere verbal statements do not count; the essence of this market is on a written document.
- Resolution Criteria:
- Resolves YES if Pope Leo XIV issues such a document before the close date
Marchés ouverts
Religion
POLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volume total
- 56,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 13,3 k €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No75%
- Yes25%
- Volume total
- 6,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,6 k €
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Pietro Parolin5%
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 118 k €
- Volume 24h
- 64,5 €
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No+1.5pt89.1%
- Yes-1.5pt10.9%
- Volume total
- 798,3 €
- Volume 24h
- —
POLYMARKETVatican III in 2026?
- No-0.1pt91%
- Yes+0.1pt9%
- Volume total
- 8,9 €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSCatholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
- No85.7%
- Yes14.3%
- Volume total
- 793,6 €
- Volume 24h
- —
- Restrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
- Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
- Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
- Will there be a trend spike for the term "Animism" before 2035?
- Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2028
- Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status
- Will Joe Rogan convert to Islam by the end of 2030?
- Will Jesus Christ return in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Pope Leo XIV issues a document addressing birth control teaching by December 31, 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 79% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Pope Leo XIV issues a document addressing birth control teaching by December 31, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Pope Leo XIV issues a document addressing birth control teaching by December 31, 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Pope Leo XIV issues a document addressing birth control teaching by December 31, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves to YES if Pope Leo XIV issues an official document (encyclical, apostolic exhortation, motu proprio, etc.) that specifically addresses the Catholic Church's teaching on artificial contraception on or before December 31, 2026.