Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 72.3%
Prévisionnistes
263
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète15 avr. 26, 16:48 UTC20 janv. 29, 17:29 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Donald Trump post an image of himself as the prophet Muhammad?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump post an image of him as a Hindu deity or priest or Buddha before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill religious organizations still have federal tax exempt status in the USA at the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Trump post this week? (October 19 - October 25)
PolymarketWhat will Trump post this week? (October 26 - November 1)
PolymarketWhat words or phrases will Trump post on Truth Social in 2026? (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves YES if Trump posts another religious image of himself before the end of his presidency.
- Resolves YES if the image is of a major figure: Jesus, Mohammed, the Buddha, the Messiah, etc. Resolves YES if the image is a remix of a sacred artwork: Trump at The Last Supper, Trump as Adam in Michelangelo's Creation of Adam, etc. Resolves NO if the image lacks grandeosity and is Christian in nature, like Trump just going to church or celebrating Thanksgiving.
- However, cross-religious depicitions like him meditating as a Buddhist resolve YES.
- The resolution date shall extend however long Trump remains in office, including for a 3rd term, but terminate early should he leave.
