Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 70%
Prévisionnistes
263
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
15 avr. 26, 16:48 UTC20 janv. 29, 17:29 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Donald Trump post an image of himself as the prophet Muhammad?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump post an image of him as a Hindu deity or priest or Buddha before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Trump post this week? (September 7 - September 13)
PolymarketHow many "truths" will Trump post from Sept. 3 through Sept. 9?
PredictItWhat words or phrases will Trump post on Truth Social in 2026? (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if Trump posts another religious image of himself before the end of his presidency.
- Resolves YES if the image is of a major figure: Jesus, Mohammed, the Buddha, the Messiah, etc. Resolves YES if the image is a remix of a sacred artwork: Trump at The Last Supper, Trump as Adam in Michelangelo's Creation of Adam, etc. Resolves NO if the image lacks grandeosity and is Christian in nature, like Trump just going to church or celebrating Thanksgiving.
- However, cross-religious depicitions like him meditating as a Buddhist resolve YES.
- The resolution date shall extend however long Trump remains in office, including for a 3rd term, but terminate early should he leave.
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump post another religious image deifying himself? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 70% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump post another religious image deifying himself? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump post another religious image deifying himself? doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Trump post another religious image deifying himself? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if Trump posts another religious image of himself before the end of his presidency.