Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Golden Age 100%En tête parmi 36 options
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
22 déc. 25, 20:16 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Truth Social $DJT still be a publicly listed stock at the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhich company will acquire Truth Social by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a court block paid early access to Trump's Truth Social posts in 2026?
KalshiCourts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?
PolymarketWill Trump post an image of him as a Hindu deity or priest or Buddha before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsTrump Truth Social posts this week? (9/6-9/12)
KalshiRègles
Resolution rules
- Eligible text:
- Only text written in the body of the post from Trump’s Truth Social account
- Includes hashtags and quoted text including words/phrases in a URL (though not in headline/preview from a shared link)
- Excludes retruths without added commentary
- Excludes text embedded solely in images
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What words or phrases will Trump post on Truth Social in 2026? (Add Answers) ?
- Manifold Markets cote Golden Age à 100% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand What words or phrases will Trump post on Truth Social in 2026? (Add Answers) sera-t-il résolu ?
- What words or phrases will Trump post on Truth Social in 2026? (Add Answers) doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment What words or phrases will Trump post on Truth Social in 2026? (Add Answers) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution rules