Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 77.6%
Prévisionnistes
181
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard8 févr. 23, 20:022 mai 27, 6:59
Tendances
Règles
NYTimes, Guardian, or 60 minutes reports on a cult which uses LLMs/AI or future AI system as a significant part of its practice, by May 1 2027.
- It's required that the report describe it as as a cult or "cult-like".
- Members are required to listen to / follow instructions of / report to an LLM/AI app/similar as part of their practice.
- Members have elevated respect for the output of a certain system/program which verges on religion.
Marchés ouverts
AI
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- October 31+0.9pt100%
- September 30+0.9pt100%
- September 15+1.1pt99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 593,1 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-5.1pt58.3%
- ChatGPT+7.0pt24.1%
- Grok+1.0pt7.4%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 8,8 M €
POLYMARKETOpenAI's Astra released on?
- September 4+14.9pt20.6%
- September 5+14.9pt15.7%
- September 6+13.2pt13.7%
+27 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETGPT-6 released by which date?
- October 31,+5.8pt100%
- November 30,+3.7pt100%
- December 31,+3.7pt100%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- Before Sep 16, 2026+14.0pt99%
- Before Oct 1, 2026+9.0pt99%
- Before Nov 1, 2026+6.0pt99%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude-13.0pt71.2%
- ChatGPT+8.0pt20.2%
- Gemini2.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 159,7 k €
- Which week will OpenAI release Astra?
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- When will OpenAI release Astra?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Which companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- AI capability growth this year?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- When will any company achieve AGI?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour AI Cult exists by 2027 ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 78% au 4 septembre 2026.
- Quand AI Cult exists by 2027 sera-t-il résolu ?
- AI Cult exists by 2027 doit être résolu le 2 mai 2027.
- Comment AI Cult exists by 2027 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : NYTimes, Guardian, or 60 minutes reports on a cult which uses LLMs/AI or future AI system as a significant part of its practice, by May 1 2027.