KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Luis Antonio Tagle 5%En tête parmi 7 options
Qualité du marché
59 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
4,3 €
Liquidité
23 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
0.8 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
18 juil. 25, 14:00 UTC1 janv. 70, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiWill Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
KalshiWill Peter Thiel become the next Pope? (Pope Thiel)
Manifold MarketsWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
PredictItDonald Trump becomes a Pope-like figure?
Manifold MarketsWill Pope Leo XIV visit first the U.S. or Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the named outcome becomes the first person elected Pope before Jan 1, 2070, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Religion
POLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volume total
- 56,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 13 k €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No99%
- Yes-49.0pt1%
- Volume total
- 10,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 9,5 k €
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No+1.0pt90%
- Yes-1.0pt10%
- Volume total
- 797,5 €
- Volume 24h
- —
PREDICTITWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volume total
- 673,9 €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Trump post another religious image deifying himself?
- Yes70%
- No30%
- Volume total
- 16,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 94,9 €
FUTUURRestrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- No81%
- Yes19%
- Volume total
- 3,1 €
- Volume 24h
- —
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- Will the next pope convene Vatican 3?
- Catholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
- Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
- Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
- Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
- What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
- Will there be a trend spike for the term "Animism" before 2035?
- Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2028
- Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will the next Pope be? ?
- Kalshi cote Luis Antonio Tagle à 5% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will the next Pope be? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will the next Pope be? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2070.
- Comment Who will the next Pope be? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome becomes the first person elected Pope before Jan 1, 2070, then the market resolves to Yes.