PredictItVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution non vérifiéesRetail prediction exchange
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 96%
Méthodologie
Retail prediction exchange
Type de question
-
Volume 24h
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
13 avr. 26, 15:16 UTC1 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Pope Leo XIV visit first the U.S. or Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsWill Pope Leo criticize JD Vance by name before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance integrate rationalist bloggers into significant D.C. influence by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
PolymarketWho will the next Pope be?
KalshiWhat countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiRègles
This market shall resolve to Yes if, by the End Date listed below, JD Vance is formally declared and announced excommunicated by the authority of the Roman Catholic Church.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 12/31/2027 11:59 PM (ET)
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 12/31/2027 11:59 PM (ET)
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 112,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2 M €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.9pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 184,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 891,3 k €
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
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- Susan Collins32.7%
- Volume total
- 4,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 505,9 k €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Volume total
- 25,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 384,3 k €
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028? ?
- PredictIt cote No à 96% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
- Comment Will the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028? est-il réglé ?
- PredictIt règle ce marché comme suit : This market shall resolve to Yes if, by the End Date listed below, JD Vance is formally declared and announced excommunicated by the authority of the Roman Catholic Church.<br /><br />PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.<br /><br />End Date: 12/31/2027 11:59 PM (ET)