Will Pope Leo criticize JD Vance by name before the 2028 election?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 67.5%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète23 févr. 26, 08:02 UTC6 nov. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Pope Leo XIV publicly criticizes JD Vance by name before the 2028 election.
- Resolution requires a direct, named reference to Vance in a papal statement, homily, letter, or official Vatican communication.
- The criticism must occur before November 5, 2028.
- Resolution sources include official Vatican statements at https://www.vatican.va, papal homilies, and major news outlets reporting on papal statements.
- Pope Leo XIV (born Robert Francis Prevost) is the first pope to have been born in the United States, elected in May 2025.
